A Basic Judgment over the Current Economic Situati
’ expectations tend to be stable and the consumer demand is growing steadily. In the middle and latter part of the 1990s, the state took measures to divert laid-off workers in the state-owned enterprises, reform the government institutions, push forward the housing commercialization and reform medical care, pension and education systems. Necessary as they are, these reforms have had negative impact on the residents’ expectations and short-term consumer demand. After active adjustment in recent years, the comprehensive effect of reform has gradually become obvious – residents’ expectations have gradually become stabilized and consumer demand has grown fairly high. From January to May, the total volume of retail sales saw a year-on-year increase of 10.1%. During the “golden week”
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“tax exemption, offsetting and rebate” policy practiced by the state on foreign-invested enterprises could be adopted for the domestic export-oriented manufacturing enterprises. This measure will require the cooperation and support of local governments as they need to share one-fourth of the tax rebates. Second, while getting prepared to cope with more harsh situation, we should solve the problems and steadily develop the relationship with the main trade partners as the United States, Europe and Japan are stepping up anti-dumping efforts against Chinese products. At the same time, China should actively explore new markets, further implement trade diversification strategy and gradually reduce the dependence on the main trade partners in order to reduce risks. Third, we should keep a close eye on the change of US dollar’s exchange rate against other major currencies. An exchange rate adjustment mechanism should be set up to deal with the changes of current accounts and capital accounts. Fourth, China should further reduce the limitation over the foreign firms’
’ income has not seen substantial increase, and not enough effective measures have been taken to reduce their burden. The low-income group in cities and townships has been enlarged. The residents’
’ income in many areas. Some measures to increase farmers’ income have hardly gained obvious results. The correct policies and measures to reduce farmers’
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’ income, reducing their burden, raising the income of low-income group in cities and townships and boosting the economy in the underdeveloped regions are of crucial importance to social stability and sustained economic growth. So the financial policy should play a more active role in regulating the distribution of residents’
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